Taking Stock

I'm not a big individual stock fan. For most people, mutual funds are a much better way to invest. Its easier to be diverisfied and its also easier to add money systematically.

However, I did see something recently which I thought my readers may enjoy. If you were going to invest in stocks, which companies would be good ones to own long-term? At least one sign of a great company is one which is able to consistently increase their dividend payment.

If you aren't sure what a dividend is, think of it this way. When you own stock, you own a tiny piece of that company. Your investment rises and falls with the performance of the company. Over time, you would like to think the company will grow, and your money will grow with it. Companies which have established themselves and become profitable will share part of their profits with you as a part owner. Those profit sharing payments are known as dividends and are usually paid once every 3 months.

Again, the sign of a great company is one which has raised its dividend payment consistently, even in tough times. Raising the dividend for shareholders is like giving them a pay raise. (CDs don't do THAT!!) Those companies would be great to own long term.

What if a company were able to raise its dividend 25 years in a row or more?

Here are the ones which have:
Abbott Labs                     (ABT)
Bemis                               (BMS)
Century Tel                     (CTL)
Chubb                               (CB)
Coca-Cola                        (KO)
Exxon-Mobil                    (XOM)
Johnson & Johnson         (JNJ)
Mc Donalds                     (MCD)
3M                                   (MMM)
Pitney Bowes                  (PBI)
PPG                                 (PPG)
Proctor & Gamble          (PG)
Walmart                          (WMT)    

S&P reports that since 1926, dividends have contributed to about 1/3 of the total return on your investment.

Another thing I like about dividends is that when the stock price goes down, the dividend yield goes up. Its a great time to buy more of great companies. That is what Warren Buffett does!

For example, lets look at Proctor & Gamble. Shares of PG are currently (2/3/10) at $62.90. Dividends are paid at $1.76/share, which is divided into 4 quarterly payments. You will get a dividend return of 2.8% on any shares purchased at that price.

What if you had been fortunate enough to buy in March of 2009, when it was selling for around $44/share? Well, you still would have gotten $1.76 per share, but that works out to about a 4% dividend return. (Better than a CD, and with potential to grow!)

Warren Buffett has become extremely wealthy because he buys great companies and holds them, collecting dividends which increase year after year after year.

Again, I am not encouraging people to buy individual stocks. There are plenty of financial stocks such as Citigroup and Bank of America which also had wonderful histories of increased dividends, until 2008.
Dividends are certainly something to consider though for any investment - including mutual funds and annuities.

You can contact me through my website, http://www.helpmy401k.us/. You can also contact me on LinkedIn at http://www.linkedin.com/in/dvoelker, or Twitter at http://www.twitter.com/deanvoelker. I am currently hosting a weekly financial advice program, "Improving Your Financial Health" on Blog Talk Radio at http://www.blogtalkradio.com/401kcoach.  Let me know how I may help you!

  

Farmville Gift Request

If you have been on Facebook for any period of time at all, you've seen this.

"John (or Jane) Doe sent a request using Farmville." John or Jane sends you a cow or a tree, and courtesy suggests that you send them one back.

I confess that I am not the best 'Farmville neighbor', and really don't play.

Who knew it was such big business?

The latest issue of Smart Money magazine includes an article by Dyan Machan - "Virtual Goods, Real Profits".

Ms. Machan tells us that "this nascent industry is sucking in staggering amounts of capital. In one 30-day span, Playfish, creator of Pet Society, sold for $400 Million. Playdom, with its game Sorority Life, raised $43 Million in financing; and sector leader Zynga raised $180 Million."

(I kind of feel like Dr. Evil with his pinky finger - "$180 Miiiilllllllion Dollars".)

These virtual games don't have to fight for shelf space. They are passed along through Facebook from friend to friend and market themselves. "If the game is a hit, revenue expands exponentially, but not costs." she says.

Ironically, the bulk of social-gaming revenue comes from selling stuff that doesn't really exist - virtual goods.

Playfish claims in the article that it sells 60 million items per day. These items are for players to reach new levels and get more from their games. The game itself is free, but to do well, you need to buy things. Aaaahhhh!!

I guess I'm not really a "social gamer". Numbers like these do make you wonder though.

In case you are curious, Playfish was aquired by Electronic Arts on Nov 9, 2009 for $275 Million. "EA" as it is known, produces a smorgasboard of games for Playstation and X-Box.

Their stock symbol is ERTS and trades on NASDAQ.

Zynga, the "leader" in social media games with Farmville, Cafe World, and Mafia Wars, is not yet publicly traded. Digital Sky Corporation, based in Moscow, Russia purchased its stake in Zynga in December, 2009 for $180 Million.

Keep trading virtual "cows" and "apple trees". It may be keeping the economy going!

You can contact me through my website, http://www.helpmy401k.us. You can also follow me on Twitter at http://www.twitter.com/deanvoelker. I host a weekly internet radio program also, "Improving Your Financial Health" at http://www.blogtalkradio.com/401kcoach.

Wipe Out The Fear in South Bend

Feel like you are drowning in today's economy?
Inflation?
Shaky stock market?
Sinking dollar?
Unemployment?
Staggering debt?

Watching the news may seem like an ongoing care wreck - especially if you watch Glenn Beck, who always looks like he will suffer a breakdown right on camera - but as horrifying and overwhelming as the news is, you can't seem to pull yourself away.

We don't suffer from a lack of information - rather TOO MUCH information. Its all so confusing and you can feel like the rag doll being pulled apart from all directions.

How does all of this affect your ability to save for retirement? Is it possible to still have goals and dreams? Can you still retire with dignity?

Dan Rather was once quoted as saying "If all of the difficulties were known at the outset of a long journey, most of us would not start out at all."

Nothing great was ever achieved without hardships along the way. As an advisor, my job is to help you resolve your fears. Let's wipe them out and provide some peace of mind.

This year, when I became an iindependent advisor and opened my own office, I've been learning that most people would rather "not lose anymore" than to win with their long term savings. To quote another great American, Will Rogers - "I'm more concerned with the return OF my money than the return ON my money."

With that in mind, my purpose has been to focus on helping people to find a vehicle that would "not lose" and still let you win. What if I could toss you a "Life Preserver" for your savings? Remember when you first learned to swim? Those kickboards or noodles came in handy, didn't they? You learned eventually that the water is your friend. Once you stopped fighting it, and let it help you, swimming became more fun, right?

Russell Pearlman recently wrote an article titled, "Problems? What Problems?" from the November 2009 issue of "Smart Money" magazine. His article focused on annuities, which have become much more popular with investors as a life preserver for long term savings.
"Don't tell that (regarding annuity cost) to baby boomers looking for retirement security at a time when their 401(k) plans are still hurting; they just keep buying annuities. Through the first six months of the year, total annuity sales were almost $127 billion, only a 3 percent drop from 2008." he writes.

Again, the message I get from my clients and others I meet is "We want SAFETY and Peace of Mind."

Can we get "Guaranteed" growth for our long term savings?
Will it be better than current CD rates?
Can we get "Guaranteed" income when I retire - also better than current CD rates?
Can we make sure the income never goes down?
And lasts for a lifetime - even if we live to 100 or beyond?
And when that lifetime does end, can we leave something for our family and loved ones?

In short - YES! Mr. Pearlman goes on to write "Are annuities for you? Experts say the peace of mind may be worth it."

Another of my favorite articles this year was written by Leslie Scism of the Wall Street Journal. "Long Derided, This Investment Now Looks Wise". "Because of such guarantees, many holders of variable annuities actually saw their accounts increase 6% or more in value last year, when the Standard & Poors 500 stock index dropped nearly 39%." Ms. Scism writes.

Contact me today to learn more about how to get a life preserver (or noodle if you prefer) for your savings. Treat yourself to some Peace of Mind!

You can contact me through my website, http://www.helpmy401k.us and follow me on Twitter at http://www.twitter.com/deanvoelker. I also host a weekly internet radio braodcast, "Improving Your Financial Health" at http://www.blogtalkradio.com/401kcoach.

Cut The Fat in your 401(k)

Last week, we asked “Where’s the Beef?” Today, we ask “Where’s the Fat?”
Its very important to trim the ‘fat’ in your 401(k) plan – or fund expenses. Today on my Blog Talk Radio program, I had a listener ask about fund expenses. These can really affect your long term return on your retirement savings.

Expenses come from managing the mutual fund. The fund family charges a percentage of the assets invested to manage the fund – deciding what to buy, what to sell, and how much to buy or sell and when to do it. Less trading = lower expenses. Also the advisor on the plan may be paid from these expenses.

Knowing this, it would make sense to look for funds in your plan which have a lower expense rate. If its about 1%, that isn’t too bad, much more than that can negatively affect your returns over time.

To give you an example, I did some figuring on my financial calculator . Let’s look at a 22 year old college graduate, starting their 401(k) plan. Of course you would expect them to bump up their contributions over time, but lets say they put in $300/month with an 8% average return until age 66. They would have saved $1,340,048 in 44 years.

What if they were using a fund with expenses that were 1% more? In other words, the fund may have averaged 8%, but the real return was 7% due to higher expenses. With all the other factors being the same, we now have a total savings of $993,985, which is a difference of $346,063. OUCH! If you figure on taking 4%/year of the nest egg at retirement for income, that means we would need to live on less income -$13842 per year less. See where 1% can make a big difference?

So look carefully at your statement. Don’t just look at ‘performance’ but also fund expenses, which do affect long term performance. Have an advisor help you with this and also help you determine how much to save, so you can have the type of retirement you want.

You may contact me through my website at http://www.helpmy401k.us. You can also follow me on Twitter at http://www.twitter.com/deanvoelker. I also host a Weekly Internet Radio Broadcast “Improving Your Financial Health on Blog Talk Radio http://www.blogtalkradio.com/401kcoach

Raising Arizona (and Arizona State and Others) - SOLUTIONS

In my first part on this, we looked at the problem of rising college costs. I believe we are at a point where students must “do their homework” before taking out a college loan. You want to be sure that you will get a good return on your investment and be able to pay it back easily. Ideally, you’d like to NOT take a loan at all. College is now a “business” decision, not a right.

I wouldn’t be a good advisor to bring up a problem without mentioning some viable solutions. There are enough good ideas, that I will talk about a few now and a few more in my next piece. None of these are magic – but if you apply these common sense ideas you’ll be better off than doing nothing. So here are some ways to Make College More Affordable.

* Saving in a 529 or UTMA plan (regularly)

The key word here is “regularly”. You can set up either of these plans as soon as your baby is born. (And I highly recommend that!) Did you know that if you were to save $100/month for 18 years (216 months) at an average return of 8%, you’d have saved $46,865? And $200/month over the same period = $93,730.

The 2 plans are different, but the idea is the same. The 529 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/529_planallows for tax-free withdrawals for college related expenses. Here in Indiana, since 2007, you can also get a 20% tax credit on any contributions to a 529 plan. Put in $5000 and you get $1000 back in the spring. Also, money can be transferred between family members. If it isn’t used for college, you are simply taxed on the growth at withdrawal.

UTMA (U -T – M – A ….you ain’t got no alibi, its UTMA!) OK, so I should give up on ‘cheerleading’ – but I couldn’t resist. This is the Uniform Transfer to Minors Act. A parent or guardian acts as a “custodian” for an account in the child’s name. http://www.fairmark.com/custacct/regret1.htm until the child reaches age 21. At that time, the money is turned over to the child. This is also counted in the child’s assets when you go to apply for financial aid later.

One advantage that someone may see in the UTMA is that it doesn’t matter if the money is used for college or not – although there are no tax benefits. They have full control over the money.
Personally, I prefer the 529 plan (for the tax benefits) and have set one up for both of my daughters. Whichever plan you choose, (talk to your advisor) the most important thing is to save something regularly.

Another note here – a common question I get is whether families should contribute to retirement or college.If you must choose – retirement savings trump college. ‘Nuff said.

* Part Time Work

Wow, real genius stuff here, Dean! I told you this wouldn’t be ‘magic’. But think about this. I believe students should learn the value of a dollar – and appreciate the value of education. When I was in High School, I cleaned tables and washed dishes for a local family restaurant. Part of my pay went into my ‘college’ account.

Currently minimum wage for “flipping burgers” is $7.25/hour. What if Johnny flipped burgers for 3 years at Mc Donald’s and put $400/month into his college savings? In 3 years, Johnny would have saved $14,400. Between this idea and the last one, we’ve put a good dent into Johnny’s college costs, and haven’t even gotten to financial aid yet.

Not able to save as much as we’ve talked about? Getting started ‘late’ with savings? What about putting off college for a year or 2, to build up savings. There is no law that says YOU MUST enter college immediately after high school. (I checked). In fact, chances are very good that Johnny (or Jill) may be more mature at 20 and get more from their college experience, having spent some time in the ”real world”.

I’d much rather see Johnny (or Jill) wait a bit and not be burdened with debt after they graduate. If they do this, they must focus on the idea that college is still in the plan - flipping burgers is only temporary.

* Go to School, Live at Home

Being in the Chamber, I often attend networking events. Recently I had a chance to visit IUSB (Indiana University at South Bend). I was very impressed with the quality of the facilities and was very surprised to learn that their enrollment exceeds 7500 students. http://www.iusb.edu/about/ (You may have heard there is another school here in South Bend).

People are saving quite a bit by having Johnny and Jill live at home while going to college.Because IUSB is affiliated with Indiana University, many programs are similar. For those not living in this area, I would be willing to wager that you have a similar local university nearby.

In the next article I will continue to explore some other ideas which can help make college more affordable.

You can contact me at www.helpmy401k.us and follow me on Twitter at www.twitter.com/deanvoelker.My weekly Blog Talk Radio program, “Improving Your Financial Health” is at http://www.blogtalkradio.com/401kcoach.

If You Knew You'd Get a "B"

Soon, all the kids will be back in school. My daughter can’t wait to see her friends and show off her new outfits. Back-To-School time usually also means plenty of sales which should get the cash registers ringing in your local retail shops.

Since we are just getting started, it’s too early to think about report cards and grades yet….or is it?

What if you knew at the beginning of the year, that your grade at the end of the year would be at least a “B” and no worse – no matter what? Better still, what if you got an “A” in one quarter, and a “C” in the other quarters – and at the end of the year, you got to keep the “A” as your grade for the year?

If that were true, how would you feel about going to school? Would you be more relaxed? Would you want to learn more? Would school be more fun?

Well, GUESS WHAT!! I can’t do much about Johnny’s math grade, or Susie’s US History Course, but I can provide solutions which may improve your confidence in investing.
How can you do that, you ask? Variable Annuities can provide Safe Growth and Safe Income.

Recently, Leslie Scism of the Wall Street Journal wrote “Because of such guarantees, many holders of variable annuities actually saw their accounts increase 6% or more in value last year, when the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index dropped nearly 39%.” in her article “Long Derided, This Investment Now Looks Wise”. http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204900904574302270919454880.html

Currently, you can earn as much as 7% or more on your principal base when you aren’t using it for income. That means if you start with $100,000, by the end of the year, you would have $107,000 to draw income from later – no matter what happens in the market. (As long as you leave it there.) And it can grow tax-deferred until you begin to take it out.

What if your account does better than 7%? Also, what if it only does better than 7% for one quarter? Wouldn’t it be great to keep the best quarter and lock it in for the year? Well….you CAN!

What if you could do this every year while you are building your Nest Egg? What if you went into the school year knowing you would at least get a “B”….and might get an “A”?

Then when you begin to take income from your savings, you can take 5% from the nest egg you’ve built for the rest of your life. The check would go up or stay the same, but never go down. (As long as you aren’t taking more than 5%.) Would that be OK?

There are some drawbacks to a Variable Annuity, which Ms. Scism also points out in her article http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204900904574302270919454880.html the most obvious being the cost of the extra protection. George Lambert also points this out in his article, “The Cost of Variable Annuities” http://www.investopedia.com/articles/pf/06/variableannuity.asp in which he looks at the different types of protection – Growth Protection, Income Protection, and Death Benefit.

Another drawback is that when you consider investing into a Variable Annuity, you need to take a Long Term approach – like any other investment. Speak with a reliable advisor about whether or not it may be appropriate for you based on your time horizon and income needs at retirement. Early withdrawals may result in steep surrender charges, although many plans allow you to withdraw as much as 10% with no surrender charge.

The main advantage of course is taking the uncertainty over today’s economy out of the picture. And if you knew you’d get at least a “B”, wouldn’t you sleep better at night?

For more information on annuities, or other investment ideas, you may contact me at http://www.helpmy401k.us/. You may also follow me on Twitter at www.twitter.com/deanvoelker. I am also hosting a weekly internet radio podcast at http://www.blogtalkradio.com/401kcoach.

Most Magical Place

Having 2 very young daughters, I’ve become quite familiar with the Disney Channel, but its amazing to think of how large this company is and how it affects our lives in many ways, known world wide for family friendly products.

This is NOT an opinion or endorsement of Disney Stock - simply a few interesting facts about its history. The Walt Disney Company (DIS) has been part of the Dow Jones Industrial Average since May 6, 1991.

The Walt Disney Company started in 1923 in the rear of a small office occupied by Holly-Vermont Realty in Los Angeles. It was there that Walt Disney, and his brother Roy, produced a series of short live-action/animated films collectively called the ALICE COMEDIES. http://studioservices.go.com/disneystudios/history.html

“Mickey Mouse” which still serves as the logo and mascot for Disney was originated in 1928, as one of the short animated films.

In 1937, Disney's innovative first full length animated feature, SNOW WHITE AND THE SEVEN DWARFS, was released. Walt Disney saw a need to increase the size of his studio, and moved it to Burbank, CA. He was involved with all aspects of the design, even the animators chairs. More movies such as FANTASIA, BAMBI, CINDERELLA, ALICE IN WONDERLAND, and PETER PAN were produced in the 1940’s and 1950s.

In 1954, Walt Disney had a vision of creating a Family Theme Park. Disneyland was completed in July, 1955. Disney World Magic Kingdom opened in Orlando, FL in October, 1971. To this day, Disneyland and Disney World are the standard for cleanliness, customer service, and family fun in theme parks. Sadly Walt Disney died in 1966, and did not see the opening of Disney World.

Today, the Disney entertainment empire includes Disney movies, the ABC family of networks, ESPN, the E! Entertainment Network, and of course the Disney Channel. Disney has helped launch the acting and musical careers of such recent stars as Justin Timberlake, Britney Spears, Christina Aguilera, Miley Cyrus, and the Jonas Brothers to name a few.

Disney issued its first public stock on November 12,1957. http://corporate.disney.go.com/investors/stockinfo/quote_1957.pdf The stock closed on its first day at $13.88. It has split 7 times since then, the last split happened in 1998. http://corporate.disney.go.com/investors/split_history.html. One share of DIS stock over that time due to splits & spinoffs would be worth close to $6000 today.

For more information, you can contact me directly at http://www.helpmy401k.us and you may also follow me on Twitter at www.twitter.com/deanvoelker.
　
　
　

Something's "Fishy"

All this talk about "fishy" comments yesterday got me to thinking.....
　
Another great American Fast Food chain is Long John Silvers. According to their website, www.ljsilvers.com , the restaurant was inspired by Robert Louis Stevenson's "Treasure Island".

The first restaurant opened in 1969 in Lexington, Kentucky, as a response to other fast food chains which were becoming popular at the time - specializing in quick service seafood. The chain began as a division of Jerrico, Inc., which also operated Jerry's Restaurants, a chain of family restaurants which also began in Lexington, KY throughout the Midwest & South.

In the UK, fish and chips became a cheap food popular among the working classes in the second half of the nineteenth century. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fish_and_chips Deep-fried "chips" (slices or pieces of potato) as a dish, may have first appeared in Britain in about the same period. There was a mention of "chips" in Charles Dickens' "A Tale of Two Cities" (1859) "Husky chips of potatoes, fried with some reluctant drops of oil".

Earlier Long John Silvers restaurants were known for their Cape-Cod style buildings, blue roofs, small steeples, and nautically-themed decorations such as seats made to look like nautical flags. Most early restaurants also featured separate entrance and exit doors, a corridor-like waiting line area, food heaters that were transparent so customers could see the food waiting to be served, and a bell by the exit which customers could "ring if we did it well." Many of these buildings had dock-like walkways lined with pilings and thick ropes that wrapped around the building exterior.

Until its bankruptcy in 1998, Long John Silvers was a privately owned corporation. It was then acquired by Yorkshire Global Restaurants, which also owned A & W American Food Chains. In March 2002, Yorkshire was purchased by Tricon Global Restaurants, Inc. which had spun off from Pepsico, Inc. Tricon owned Taco Bell, Kentucky Fried Chicken, and Pizza Hut worldwide. Tricon then changed their name to Yum Brands, Inc. (NYSE: YUM)

www.yum.com

Until then, Long John Silvers had served Coca-Cola Products. Once the acquistion by Yum Brands was in effect, they switched to Pepsi. Currently, Long John Silvers has more than 1200 restaurants worldwide – and more than 200 additional locations in Yum Brands, Inc. multi-brand restaurants. Nearly four million customers each week "throw boring overboard".
This is NOT an endorsement or an opinion of YUM stock. From 1997, Yum Brands/Tricon has grown from $8.06/share to a high of $41.73 on April 30, 2008. http://finance.aol.com/charts/yum-brands-inc/yum/nys/tech-chart Yesterday, August 6, 2009, YUM closed at 36.05.

For more investing information, you may contact me at http://www.deanvoelker.com . You may also follow me on Twitter at www.twitter.com/deanvoelker, or Blog Talk Radio at

http://www.blogtalkradio.com/401kcoach.

The Real Thing

Recently, I've been thinking about what else to write about. We've covered a wide range of topics - annuities, tax-free bonds, mutual funds, the importance of savings, and 401(k)s.

Although I am licensed to buy & sell individual common stock, I strongly believe that most people should own them within mutual funds. There are a number of companies that have some very interesting stories though. One of them is Coca-Cola.

This is NOT an opinion of Coca-Cola's stock, or an endorsement - merely some history, which I hope you will find as fascinating as I do.

According to Wikipedia,

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coca-Cola , the first Coca-Cola recipe was invented in a drugstore in Columbus, GA by John Pemberton in 1885. Pemberton developed it as a non-alcoholic version of French Wine Cola. The first sales were at Jacob's Pharmacy in Atlanta, GA on May 8, 1886. It was initially sold as a patent medicine for 5 cents a glass at soda fountains. Many people at that time believed that carbonated water was good for your health. Pemberton claimed Coca-Cola cured many diseases, including morphine addiction, headaches, and even impotence (the first "Viagra"?).

Asa Candler acquired a stake in Pemberton's company in 1887 and incorporated it as Coca-Cola Company in 1888. Due to some controversy in ownership, Candler incorpoarted a second time in 1892 as THE Coca-Cola Company. Coca-Cola was sold in bottles for the first time on March 12, 1894. The first outdoor wall advertisement was painted in 1894 as well in Cartersville, GA.

Although the company grew and even had a celebrity endorsement from baseball star and Georgia native, Ty Cobb http://www.tycobbfoundation.com/ common stock for Coca-Cola never went public until 1919. http://beginnersinvest.about.com/od/investmentbanking/a/aa073106a.htm

In 1919, you could buy one share of Coca-Cola (NYSE - KO) for about $40/share.

http://beginnersinvest.about.com/od/investmentbanking/a/aa073106a.htm

However, the price quickly fell to $19 due to a sugar shortage. http://query.nytimes.com/gst/abstract.html?res=990CEEDA1131E433A2575AC1A9619C946195D6CF Times were tough due to World War I. I'm certain many people gave up on this investment, and lost out. Had they stayed invested over the long term, that ONE SHARE of Coca-Cola stock, with splits and dividends reinvested is worth OVER $5 MILLION TODAY!!

http://beginnersinvest.about.com/od/investmentbanking/a/aa073106a.htm

Coca-Cola joined the Dow Jones Industrial Average on March 12, 1987.

http://www.encyclopedia.com/doc/1P2-1310943.html

For more information, please contact me at http://www.helpmy401k.us. You may also follow me on Twitter at http://www.twitter.com/deanvoelker.

Caught In The Web

One of the truly wonderful things about being an Independent Financial Advisor is that it has really allowed me to open myself up and explore new and different ways of connecting with prospective clients.

I'm sure you'd agree that the past couple of years have been difficult for investors, haven't they? Difficult because of disappointing returns on your savings. Even if you don't consider yourself a stock market investor, you are discouraged with interest rates on your CDs and savings accounts.

However a dangerous side effect to all of this has been that many people have scrapped solid investing principles. They have become like ships without a rudder, not knowing where to turn, and fearful of trusting anyone or anything. Times like these are when we really NEED professional advice more than ever, wouldn't you agree? So where do you find good sound professional advice? Whom do you trust?

For someone like myself, I'm learning that traditional marketing methods - cold calling, mailers, and print ads have been less effective than usual in reaching out to others and making connections. Have you noticed that over the years, TV and Radio Programs include MORE ads and LESS programs? http://www.nydailynews.com/archives/entertainment/2005/07/28/2005-07-28_kelley__too_many_ads_on_netw.html

Its like that old Wendy's ad (oops there is another one!) "Where's the Beef?"

We've become jaded and resistant to traditional marketing. Again, my belief is that people need professional advice NOW more than ever. For me, its also very important to connect with clients whom I can truly serve. A great client is one that we have established a bond of trust. They have shared their goals and dreams with me, and they are open-minded to my advice. When they hear my advice, they can easily see that I want to help them reach their goals, and my advice is truly in their best interests.

So how does one find "great clients" without traditional marketing methods that aren't effective?Using social media websites has been one solution. Writing this blog has been fun, and its allowed me to provide professional advice which anyone can use and benefit from.

Linked In (www.linkedin.com/in/dvoelker) is a great site to reinforce my professional side. It is my online resume and helps me to establish my credentials. I'm also very active in my local Chamber of Commerce (www.sjchamber.org). This provides some great networking opportunities.

Twitter (www.twitter.com/DeanVoelker) allows us to say anything to the whole world (in 140 characters or less). This is a good way to post notices for my blog or other articles of interest.

Facebook (www.facebook.com/dean.voelker) is an absolute blast, which has allowed me to show a more personal side, as well as professsional. And of course, all of these sites allow you to access my own website (www.helpmy401k.us), which serves as another excellent resource for retirement savings.

Most recently, at the suggestion of my friend, Brian, whom I've know since high school, I've also begun a weekly internet radio broadcast (www.blogtalkradio.com/401kcoach). Brian has extensive radio experience and has been very helpful in helping me get started. This show has been a lot of work, but also fun to do, and certainly helps to set me apart from other advisors.

I've always been a believer in giving. What goes around comes around. My faith in God tells me that we will get throught this challenging time, and be stronger for it. Someone recently told me that God is never in a recession. Have Faith!

Please contact me at www.helpmy401k.us if I may be of service to you in any way.

This Time Its Different - II

Recently I posted an article, titled “This Time It’s Different”. Most people when asked about the idea of investing in the market, have responded that “They are waiting to see what happens” and yes, “This Time It’s Different because…..”

If you read my previous article, “This Time It’s Different”, http://5reasonsyoushouldownaroth.blogspot.com/2009/07/this-time-its-different.html I referred to a study done by Hartford on the Recession of the mid 1970’s (1973 & 1974), arguably the closest parallel to our present economic situation. The low point in the market was Sept. 30, 1974. The Dow closed at 607.87 (not a misprint) This was down more than 40% from its high in 1972, when it crossed the 1000 mark for the first time. http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=389×4124348

The stock market had gone through back-to-back negative years for the first time since the Great Depression.

We should set the stage a bit at this point. In 1972, we were still heavily involved in the Vietnam War, which was highly unpopular, and dragged on for several years. Also, in 1972, the Watergate scandal began. This resulted in the indictment and conviction of several of Nixon’s closest advisors, and ultimately in the resignation of the President himself, on August 9, 1974. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Watergate_scandal

To make matters worse, the Oil Embargo http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1973_oil_crisis was put into effect by OPEC, which refused to ship oil to the US due to their support of Israel at that time. Unemployment had reached a high of 6.7% in 1974. http://www.nytimes.com/2008/12/06/business/economy/06jobs.html

So things in 1974 looked pretty bleak. I recently read a letter written by Jim Fullerton of the Capital Group to shareholders at that time(November 1974). Here are some highlights from Mr. Fullerton’s letter.

“Each economic, market, and financial crisis is different from previous ones. But in their very difference, there is commonality….. Today there are thoughtful, experienced, respected, economists, bankers, investors, and businessmen who can (tell) you why this time the economic problems are different; why this time things are going to get even worse – and hence, why this is NOT a good time to invest in common stocks, even though they may appear low…..This time is a whole new ball game.”

“In 1942 everybody knew it was a whole new ball game…..The Germans had overrun France. The British had been thrown out of Dunkirk. The Pacific Fleet had been disastrously crippled at Pearl Harbor. We had surrendered Bataan, and the British had surrendered Singapore. The U.S. was so ill-prepared for a war that……75% of our field artillery was equipped with horse-drawn, French 75mm guns.” (Mr. Fullerton served in WWII.)

“In April 1942, inflation was rampant…..On April 8, 1942, the lead article in the (Wall Street) Journal was: ‘Home Construction, Total far behind last year’s. Private Builders hardest hit.’…..Washington D.C. also considered more drastic rationing with price fixing, or still higher taxes as a means of filling the ‘inflationary gap’ between increased public buying power and the diminishing supply of consumer goods.”

“A leading stock market commentator wrote: ‘The market remains in the dark as to just what it has to discount. And as yet, the signs are still lacking that the market has reached permanently solid ground for a sustained reversal.”

“Yet on April 28, 1942, in that gloomy environment, in the midst of a war we were losing, faced with excess-profits taxes and wage and price controls, shortages of gasoline and rubber…..and with the virtual certainty…..that once the war was over, we’d face a post-war depression, the market turned around.”

“Now I’d like to close with this: ‘Some people say they want to wait for a clearer view of the future. But when the future is again clear, the present bargains will have vanished. In fact, does anyone think that today’s prices will prevail once full confidence has been restored?’ That comment was made by Dean Witter in May of 1932 – only a few weeks before the end of the worst bear market in history.”

“Have Courage! We have been here before – and we’ve survived and prospered.”

Jim Fullerton

As of today, July 23, 2009, the Dow is up nearly 200 points, crossing the 9000 mark for the first time this year. This is a gain of over 38% from its low point of 6547 on March 9, 2009. Yes, This Time It’s Different.

For more information, you may contact me at http://www.helpmy401k.us. You may also follow me on Twitter at www.twitter.com/deanvoelker.

How Do I Keep My IRA From Being Eroded By Taxes When I Die?

Recently, I have been reading “The Retirement Savings Time Bomb…and How To Diffuse It” by Ed Slott. Ed is a highly renowned CPA and tax advisor. He has written for the Wall Street Journal, the New York Times, and USA Today. His book focuses on strategies to keep money in your savings, and away from the IRS.

One strategy of his, which I also recommend to my high net worth clients is the use of Life Insurance for estate planning. Because Life Insurance proceeds are not taxable, it’s a great way to pass money to your beneficiaries without creating a tax burden for them.

Ed uses a great story to make his point on why insurance is important. With his permission, I have included an excerpt from his book. Ed Slott’s website is www.irahelp.com.
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If you’re not a baseball fan, then the name Bill Buckner probably doesn’t ring a bell. But if you follow the game, you’ll recognize it as one of the most ignominious names in the history of baseball.

Bill Buckner was the first baseman for the Boston Red Sox in the 1986 World Series when the Sox were matched against the New York Mets. It was Game 6. The Red Sox were an out away from winning a World Series for the first time in 68 years. The ball was pitched, the Mets batter swung and connected with a thunderous c-r-a-c-c-k-k, sending the ball straight to first base and the outstretched arms of Bill Buckner, who flubbed the catch before the stunned but elated crowd in New York’s Shea Stadium, letting the ball roll between his legs!

Thanks to this colossal error, the Mets were able to pull their fanny from the fire, win the game that night, and go on to win Game 7 and the World Series title. The city of Boston has never forgiven Bill Buckner. Last I heard, he’d moved to Idaho, which apparently still wasn’t far enough for Boston fans. To Boston Red Sox fans in particular, and to baseball fans in general, Bill Buckner remains but one thing: The Man Who Dropped the Ball.

Now, what if I told you the Bill Buckner was also one of the best players ever to play the game of baseball? Would you be shocked? Disbelieving? I know I was when I heard that exact statement mad in a recent show about Buckner called “Beyond the Glory” on the Fox Sports Network. Being an accountant by trade, I decided to do my own audit of Buckner’s statistics to see if the show was right.

But how would I find those statistics? Easy. I went to a local baseball card store and asked the owner if he had any Bill Buckner cards for sale. He looked at me like I’d sprouted two heads.
“Why would you want a Bill Buckner card?” he asked. “Nobody wants them. That’s why I don’t carry any. We’d never sell them.” But I persisted, and he said he’d check around the baseball card grapevine to see if he could come up with one.

I went back in a few weeks and, lo and behold, he’d managed to dig up a few old Bill Buckner cards for me. “How much?” I asked.

He said, “They’re worthless. You can have ’em for free.”

I thanked him, took the cards home, and quickly checked Bill Buckner’s statistics. Fox was right. The numbers were astounding!

Bill Buckner played 22 seasons. Only 25 players in the history of baseball have pleyed more games then he did. He’d gotten more hits than 70% of the players currently in the Baseball Hall of Fame, including such superstar names as Mickey Mantle, Ernie Banks, Reggie Jackson, Johnny Bench, and even Ted Williams. He had 500 more hit’s the Joe Di Maggio!

When Buckner played for the Chicago Cubs, he won a National League batting title. He was also an exceptional fielder. He genuinely was one of the greatest players the game of baseball has ever had. And yet he will be forever locked in the Baseball Hall of Shame for that one slip-up at the end of his career that cost the Red Sox the World Series.

As I pondered the ill-fated career of Bill Buckner, I found myself thinking, “He’s a lot like an IRA. He had such a brilliant career, accumulated so much, but in the end lost it all due to one error, and now his name is mud.”

Is that how you want your family to remember you? As the guy (or gal) who dropped the ball?
Most people don’t think about it much, but the combination of estate and income taxes can easily consume an IRA of any size. Combined, estate taxes, along with federal and state income taxes could easily exceed 90%.…..

When it comes to retirement accounts, its not enough to earn great investment returns. Yes, that is important in building the account, but even if you earn 30% per year, every year for 30 years, what good is it if, at the end of the line, up to 90% of the account’s value is lost - which can happen if the funds aren’t there to pay the combined estate and income taxes on an inherited IRA, and so the IRA itself must be used to pay those taxes.

If an IRA must be tapped to pay tax when the IRA owner dies, the result is a cycle of taxation that doesn’t stop until the beneficiaries are so punch drunk that they don’t know what’s happened to them, let alone to their IRA…..

Do something now while you are still alive and options to protect that money for your heirs still exist. Life Insurance is your retirement account’s best defense to offset the tax burden which beneficiaries may face.
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For more information, please contact me at http://helpmy401k.us. You may also follow me on Twitter at www.twitter.com/deanvoelker

This Time Its Different

Last year (2008), the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell about 34% (www.djindexes.com), then dropped ANOTHER 20% in the first 2 months of 2009.

It is estimated that investors accounts have declined in value by about $10 TRILLION DOLLARS TOTAL. http://www.businessweek.com/mediacenter/podcasts/cover_stories/covercast_03_05_09.htm

Severe recessions such as this one can test the resolve of even the most experienced investors.
It is easy to say "This time its different." Many people are still feeling that way.

However, it is important to keep in mind a few points.

* Financial decisions (any financial decisions) should not be based on emotion.
* Historically, after every past recession, the market has gone on to hit new highs.
* Declines in the market & economy, even our most severe ones, have been temporary.
* Since 1926, the Dow Jones has had TWICE AS MANY positive returns as negative ones.
Despite more than 12 recessions dating back to 1926, $1.00 invested in the Dow in 1926
would have been worth $2045.00 at the end of 2008.

The late Sir John Templeton, founder of Franklin Templeton Investments liked to say, "The Four most expensive words in the English Language are 'This time it's Different.' "

The National Bureau of Economic Research www.nber.com http://www.nber.org/cycles/
states that the United States has weathered a recession EVERY decade since the 1920's. https://financialprofessional.hartfordinvestor.com/planco/om/P7135.pdf - Page 4.

As painful as the recessions are, when we are experiencing one, they have always been short lived, about 11 months on average. It can be difficult to predict when one will end, and announcing the "end" may take a while. According to NBER, they have waited an average of 15 months before declaring an "end". This way they avoid confusion. If there is further economic turmoil, it can be linked to a new recession, rather than the old one.

While we are "waiting to see what will happen" rebounds are often quick and robust. Stocks tend to recover about 6 months before the economy does. According to Morningstar www.morningstar.com, stocks are referred to as a leading indicator. On average, stocks have returned about 25% from market lows to the "end of the recession".

Did you know that the Dow Jones has increased by nearly 30% since its low point on
March 9, 2009? Have you been "in" the whole time, or did you go to something "safe"?

3/9/2009 - 6547
7/1/2009 - 8504

"The most expensive words in the English Language are 'This time it's different'."
Sir John Templeton

If you went to cash, thinking you were being "smart", think again. Cash can actually slow your recovery, and make it much harder to get your savings back.

In a recent study, Hartford shows data from the recession of 1973-1974, which had been our most severe until the present one. The study (please contact me at www.helpmy401k.us for more information) shows 4 seperate scenarios, each starting with $100,000 invested in equities on Dec. 31, 1972.
(Equities are represented by the S & P 500 Index. Cash is represented by the 30 Day Treasury Bill Index.)

In the study, they wanted to see how long it would take to recover the original $100,000 for the Low Point in the Market (Sept. 30, 1974)

Investor A (stayed in Equities) - back to $100,000 in July 1976 (1.75 years)
Investor B (moved to cash for 6 months, starting 9/30/1974) (5.3 years, or Jan. 1980)
Investor C (moved to cash for 12 months, starting 9/30/1974) (also 5.3 years)
Investor D (moved to cash for 18 months, starting 9/30/1974) (6.2 years, or Nov. 1980)

Yogi Berra sometimes said, "Its deja vu all over again."

In a challenging economy such as this one, isn't this precisely when you need a financial professional working side by side with you?

For more information, please contact me at http://www.helpmy401k.us. You may also follow me on Twitter at www.twitter.com/deanvoelker.

Income For Life

One of my clients once told me that the biggest lesson he learned in retirement was this. You don't retire on a Lump Sum of Money. Rather, you retire on the INCOME which the Lump Sum of Money can create. Think about that statement for a bit. Let it sink in. In fact, let me repeat it, because this is what retirement means. You don't retire on a Lump Sum of Money. Rather, you retire on the INCOME which the Lump Sum of Money can create. You spend your working career saving, accumulating, investing, and building a "lump sum". At some point, you will want to use it for income.

Soooo.....what exactly is a "Lump Sum of Money"? Is it $100,000? $300,000? How about $1,000,000? More than that?

The best way to answer that is that the amouth may be different for everyone. However, we can help you to narrow down what you amount should be at retirement. Here are 4 steps.

1. Determine your monthly budget. You don't want any debt at retirement. Leave plenty of
room for "Miscellaneous" expenses - travel, kids, hobbies. If you aren't working, you are
spending.

2. Determine your Social Security Income amount. There are 3 categories for Social
Security income - Reduced Benefit (usually age 62), Full Benefit (usually age 66), and
Enhanced Benefit (age 70). As the terms suggest, if you take Social Security at an earlier age,
you are "stuck" with a smaller amount of income - and "Grounded For Life." There has also
been a growing movement for proposed changes in Social Security in order to make the
money last longer. At least one of those changes includes pushing back the age for Full
Retirement Benefits, which would force most of us to work longer. Whatever benefit amount
you select, you need to know the amount so it can be applied to your budget.

3. Do you have other sources of income? These may include rental property, part time
work, or anything else which generates income.

4. Look at your budget again, and deduct your budgeted expenses from your total
income.
This sounds simple - and it is- however you would be surprised at how many people don't do
it. Do you have enough income to cover your expenses? Is there money to do "special" things
you want to do in retirement? Travel? Golf when you want?

If there is a "gap", how much is the gap? Let's assume there is a gap of $800/month. $800 x
12 months = $9600/year. Now let's take $9600 and divide it by .04. (4% is a reasonably
"safe" amount to withdraw from a lump sum.) $9600/.04 = $240,000. Now we have a "lump
sum" goal of saving for retirement. This can be saved in your 401(k), IRA, Roth IRA, or
ordinary savings. Do not retire until you have this amount saved to cover your additional
budgeted expenses.

In a future article we will look further at annuities and how they can provide income for life. We also need to consider the impact of inflation on your savings.

For more income on annuities or on budgeting, please contact me at http://www.helpmy401k.us. You may also follow me on Twitter at www.twitter.com/deanvoelker

Using Protection?

That should have gotten your attention!

In my last post, I discussed some basics of annuities. Annuities can offer some protection for your savings which other investments, such as stocks or mutual funds do not. Keep in mind that the value of your account may still go down.

Lets talk about a few protections which you may get from an annuity.

GUARANTEED DEATH BENEFIT - The first one, common to most annuities, is the Guranteed Death Benefit. What is means is that if you invested a sum of money into an annuity, your beneficiaries will receive at least that amount (minus any income or withdrawals taken).

For example, lets say that John puts $100,000 into a variable annuity. The market goes south, and the value of the annuity dips to $80,000, when John dies. If he has not taken income, his heirs will get the full $100,000. Now lets say that the market goes up, and the account grows to $120,000. When John dies, his heirs get $120,000. In this case, it would not matter if he has taken income - if the account value has grown from his original investment, his heirs get the account value.

GUARANTEED GROWTH - There are a lot of different insurance brokers who provide annuities, and not all of them offer this. Whichever provider you use, I would certainly recommend using a large, stable, reputable (Name Brand) company. The protection is only as good as the insurance company backing it.

I have become familiar with Jackson National Life, one of the largest annuity providers in the US. They have an AA rating in Financial Strength from Fitch & Standard & Poors, which is Very Strong. What that means to a client is that they should feel secure with the protections they are getting on their money. (Source: Jackson Life http://www.jackson.com/)

Jackson offers a Fixed Account Option on its annuities. The Fixed Option offers a 1 Year Interest Rate, which is reset each year, but is never less than 3% (Special Benefit Value). 3% actually looks pretty good right now, doesn't it?

Lets say that John starts out at age 55 by investing his $100,000 in a Fixed Index Annuity. Assuming that the annuity value has grown by 3% per year, by age 65 (10 years) it will be worth $134,392 minimum. (Source: Jackson Ascender Plus Select Brochure, http://www.jackson.com/).

A Variable Annuity should provide more growth over time, however its performance is related to the stock market. The Standard & Poors Index, also referred to as the S & P 500 represents the largest 500 companies in the USA. It has been the measuring stick for comparing investment performance.

If John had been investing his $100,000 in a Variable Annuity using the S & P Index, Jackson lets you have a "win-win". If the market goes up, the account will also go up. If the market goes down, the account value stays the same. This would have been particularly valuable in 2008 when the S & P declined by 42.9%. The value in John's account would have been the same. Had John kept his money invested over the last 10 years, he would have $145,825 today. (Source: Jackson Ascender Plus Select Brochure, http://www.jackson.com/)

I will look at Guaranteed Income Options in another segment. I will also look at additional charges for these features (where they apply). Please keep in mind that an annuity is not for everyone. You should consult with your advisor to determine if an annuity is right for you.

For more information, you may contact me at http://www.helpmy401k.us/. You may also follow me on Twitter at http://twitter.com/DeanVoelker .

"OK, Now What?"

The market has performed much better over the past 3 months. From a low on 3/09/09 to now, the S & P has risen over 34%. This is an encouraging sign for investors.....BUT.....(as a friend of mine might say, "That's a mighty big but you have!")

All kidding aside, the question we all face is - "OK, Now WHAT?" As I talk with clients, attitudes range from "Gloom & Doom" expecting yet another downturn in our roller-coaster ride, to "Cautiously Optimistic". A common quote is "I don't want to lose anymore." (Sound familiar?)

We still have the same issues - we are living longer than we used to. Hallmark sold over 85,000 birthday cards last year for individuals who had reached at least their 100th birthday. The 100+ group is our fastest growing demographic and current life expectancies are 85 for males, 87 for females.

Over that time, being retired for 25 or more years, you WILL see inflation. As certain as death & taxes.

* Do you have enough money to live 25 years or more in retirement?
* Are you prepared to keep up with rapidly rising costs?
* Is your money protected well enough to weather another economic storm?

How can you get growth, income, and protection at the same time? One idea is with a variable annuity. Please meet with your advisor to determine if a variable annuity is right for you. There are several benefits (protections) which annuities offer which are appealing. I'll address these in a future article, but for now lets look at the basics.

According to wikipedia http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Annuity_(US_financial_products), an annuity contract is created when an individual gives a life insurance company money which may grow on a tax-deferred basis and then can be distributed back to the owner in several ways.

A variable annuity works much like a mutual fund (or funds). The funds, known as subaccounts, are held and backed by an insurance company. The insurance company can provide protections on your investment for income, death benefit, and in some cases they can even provide a minimum rate of growth. The 'catch' is that you pay for the protection thru annual fees and charges.

Annuities (and insurance) has changed much over the past 10 years. New government regulations has made insurers to become more client friendly, easier to understand, with more benefits to clients.

One way to look at the positive changes in annuities is to think of improvements made in other products. Think of cell phones for example. When they first arrived on the scene in the 1980's, phones were heavy (remember the backpacks!), expensive, with poor reception, and few features. Now think of them today - you can do all kinds of activities on a cell phone, even take pictures, videos, and use the internet - and the phone easily fits into your pocket.

I will be covering more on annuities to come. You may contact me at www.helpmy401k.us. You may also follow me on Twitter at www.twitter.com/DeanVoelker.

Fixing Your 401(k) - Part 5

Problem #5 - Investments

If you have been following me on this blog lately, you might think that I'm against the idea of 401(k) plans. Not so! Let me state this clearly. I LOVE 401(k) plans as a source of saving for retirement. EVERYONE should be participating in a 401(k).

However, there are many potential hazards that you must be aware of in your 401(k) plans.
So my purpose here has been acting as a 'caddy' and letting you know where the bunkers & water hazards are at so we can avoid them. And I certainly want you all to finish the 'course'.

Today, we will look at the problem which most investors find it easiest to point fingers at -
Investments.

How many investment choices are offered in your plan? And how do you choose which ones are right for you? How long do you stay with invesments in your plan before you look for
"greener grass"?

A survey done by Watson Wyatt in January 2008, (Watson Wyatt is the trusted business partner to the world’s leading organizations on people and financial issues)
http://www.watsonwyatt.com/us/pubs/insider/showarticle.asp?ArticleID=18489
gives us this information.

* 30% of all participants have NO equity (stock mutual funds) in their plans.
* 20% of investors at least 45 and older have stopped contributing.
* Too many people are invested heavily in their company stock, some who have at least
50% or more of their plans in company stock.
(Company stock is an issue I will look at in further detail in my next article.)

Dave Ramsey likes to ask this question - If you were CFO of your own finances, would you fire you? Well, the reality is that YES YOU ARE the CFO of your finances & retirement savings!

"Investors Behaving Badly: An Analysis of Investor Trading Patterns in Mutual Funds" is a 2001 article that shows people are holding their funds for shorter and shorter time periods, as short as 2.9 years, and probably even less time these days after all of the challenges recently.
http://spwfe.fpanet.org:10005/public/Unclassified%20Records/FPA%20Journal%20November%202001%20-%20Investors%20Behaving%20Badly_%20An%20Analysis%20of%20Investor%20Trading%20Patt.pdf

This is like moving your boat all around the pond in search of the 'perfect' fishing spot. It usually just scares the fish! This also explains why people finally give up and put everything into "safe" money market funds, because as one gentleman puts it. "At least I'm not losing nothing."

Wayne Gretzky said (during his playing days), "I skate to where the puck is going, not where it has been." How do we know where the 'puck' is going? We don't. That would mean market timing, and as Warren Buffett would say, "I'm not smart enough for that."

How many funds should an employer's plan offer? Anywhere from about 12 - 20 is a good range. Your personal plan should meet these objectives.
* Look for funds which have 10 year (or longer) histories. Established funds give a much
clearer long term picture of what to expect.
* Pay attention to fund expenses. The higher the expenses, the more it can hurt your return.
* Treat the plan as if you are at a "buffet". The plan offers a menu of choices, and it is best to
have somthing from all of the food groups. Just as you wouldn't eat only the fried chicken,
you also need fixed income, dividend paying funds (large companies), medium sized
companies, small companies, and international.
* Meet with an advisor to help you find the mix you should have and how much to put in.
Many good advisors (including myself) offer to do this at no charge to you. Let him or her
help you put a roadmap together which will help you get to (and through) retirement
safely.

Next we will examine the issue of company stock in 401(k) plans. For more information or to contact me, please visit http://www.helpmy401k.us/. You can also follow me on Twitter at
http://twitter.com/DeanVoelker

Fixing Your 401(k) - Part 3

Problem #2 - Portability

OK, after taking a few days off for the Memorial Day weekend, I am back. There are still a few more problems to tackle with 401(k) plans as a retirement tool. Today's topic is Portability.

Question: When you left your last job, what happened to your 401(k)?

Follow Up Questions: How many times does the average worker change jobs during their
working years? And what percentage of people cash out their 401(k)s?

In Gregory Crawford's memo to President Bush in 2005 "The Looming Retirement Disaster",
the average worker will change jobs 5-8 times during their working years. And Jobradio.fm says that 1 out of 5 will likely change in 2009. http://jobradio.fm/2009/01/07/changing-jobs-1-in-5-say-they-will-in-2009/

The era of the "gold watch" after a long, loyal career is pretty much OVER. People may change for any numbe of reasons, but whatever the reason is, it may have a dramatic effect on retirement savings. There can be waiting periods to participate in a 401(k), the new employer
may or may not offer a plan, and there are interruptions in employer matching contributions.

And on average, this happens 5-8 times for the typical worker over their working life.

How many people simply cash out all or part of their 401(k)? According to Gregory Crawford,
an astonishing 55%. If you are younger than 59 1/2, you are subject to taxes plus a 10% penalty by the government. Without education, or belief that the market will come back, many people convinced that this is the right thing to do "before they lose any more."

How exactly does this affect our savings?

In the last post, I showed how a worker earning $75,000/year for 20 years, putting in $6075 per year (8.1%) and getting a 4% match and an 8% average return would have saved
$431,901 in 20 years.

Using the same scenario, lets have this worker change jobs 3 times, with the last 10 years at the same job. We have just cut our savings down to $136,724. (Source Jackson Life - Rollover Rx). And if we take 5% income from that, we now have an income of $6836/year.

For more information, please contact me at www.helpmy401k.us

Where You Put Your Money Does Matter

According to Dave Ramsey (www.daveramsey.com), "A Simple one-time investment of $1000 could make a huge difference at retirement...if you know how and where to invest it.

Did you know that 84% of teens have some money saved, with the average being $1044. (I remember being in this position once as a high school student, working & saving. Boy, do I wish someone had shared this with me at that time! $1000 was worth more in 1982 than today!)

Dave Ramsey has a simple chart with some interesting facts.
http://www.daveramsey.com/school/media/pdf/sample_chapter.pdf (Page 9)

He points out on his chart that he learned from a Charles Schwab survey that 81% of teens say that it is important to have a lot of money in their lives. However only 22% say they know how to invest money to make it grow. And only 24% believe that since they are you, saving money now is not that important.

The chart shows what can happen to $1000 over a 40 year period (Age 25 -65) at different rates of return 6%, 12%, and 18% (with no new money added). Because of the compounding effect of interest, a snowball effect is created.

At 6%, $1000 will grow to $10,285 in 40 years.
At 12%, $1000 will grow to $93,050 in 40 years.
At 18%, $1000 will grow to $750,378 in 40 years.

There are some well-established mutual funds which have averaged 12%per year over a 40 year or longer time period. That does NOT mean that the fund will perform at 12% every year. 12% is merely an average.

As Dave often reminds us, saving & building wealth requires discipline and it is a marathon, not a sprint. Plant the seed and let it grow.

Are there any funds which average 18%? None that I can think of which have consistently perform at that level long term - However, think of your credit card lenders, and other forms of revolving credit. Can you see how they make money?

Remember the compound snowball is either working FOR you or AGAINST you. With all of the recent news about credit card lenders gouging, http://njmg.typepad.com/moneyblog/2009/05/credit-card-gouging.html
isn't this a great time to cut up the cards and begin to take control of your finances again?

Do you know a teen who has saved some money?

For more information, please contact me at www.deanvoelker.com.

Retire As A Millionaire!

Want to retire as a Millionaire? As Warren Buffett might say, "It's Simple, but never easy."

Dave Ramsey, the leading expert in helping others to build wealth has an illustration he shows in his classes, to show how Compound Interest works. Dave uses the example of Ben & Arthur. (Why not Ben & Jerry? Just kidding!) http://www.daveramsey.com/etc/cms/index.cfm?intContentId=64

In the example, Ben starts at age 19 and invests $2000 per year at 12% (Well, an AVERAGE of 12%). Ben does this from Age 19 to Age 26 (8 years or a total of $16000 invested) and then stops. He lets the money compound and continues to earn 12%. At Age 65, assuming he never withdraws anything, Ben has $2,288,996.

Arthur, on the other hand, waits until he is 27 to get started, and also invest $2000 per year at 12%. Amazingly, even though Arthur invests a total of $78,000 over 39 years, and is getting the same return, he NEVER catches up with Ben, because Ben started earllier. Arthur's total at Age 65 is $1,532,166. I think many people would be happy with that number though.
Compound interest teaches us a few things.

1. Start early. The eariler you grasp this concept, and apply it for yourself the better.
2. Start now. Don't worry about the past. Make a plan to start today. And STICK TO IT.
3. Down Markets will happen. With disciplined investing (By the way, $2000/year works out to
less than $40/week.) you are buy at a bargain when values are down. The catch is to do it
every week.
4. Compound interest is either working for you or against you. Is it time to do "plastic surgery"
on your credit cards?

For more information, contact me at www.deanvoelker.com